- Two-sided p-value
- 0.05
- Right-tail p-value
- 0.02
- Left-tail p-value
- 0.98
About this result
Interpret the tail that matches your prespecified hypothesis.
How it works
A threshold does not create a cliff
Results of p = 0.049 and p = 0.051 offer very similar evidence under otherwise comparable analyses. Report the values with effect estimates and uncertainty; crossing 0.05 alone does not establish a meaningful scientific difference.
Matching a p-value to the test direction
Select the test direction and distribution assumptions that match the question being tested. One-sided and two-sided probabilities can differ for the same standardized statistic. A p-value describes evidence under the specified null model; it is not the probability that a hypothesis is true or a measure of practical importance. Interpret it alongside the effect size and study design.
P-value: formula and assumptions
A tail probability measures how extreme the statistic is under the stated null distribution.
Select the test distribution and relevant degrees of freedom. A p-value is not the probability that the null hypothesis is true.
Normal probabilities & inverse: formula and assumptions
Left=Φ(z); right=SF(z); central=1−2SF(|z|); outside=2SF(|z|).
Probabilities use the interval 0–1, not percentages. A central probability determines the magnitude of z; both signs are shown.
Worked example
Using the P-value example:
- Distribution
- Standard normal (z)
- Test statistic
- 1.96
A tail probability measures how extreme the statistic is under the stated null distribution.
Example result
Two-sided p-value: 0.05
Right-tail p-value: 0.02
Left-tail p-value: 0.98
- Interpret the tail that matches your prespecified hypothesis.
These are illustrative inputs. Change the values to explore a different scenario.
Formula references
- OpenStax: Algebra and Trigonometry (opens in a new tab)
- NIST statistical methods handbook (opens in a new tab)
References explain the underlying methods; they do not imply endorsement or individual professional review of Finflo.
Common questions
Is a p-value the probability that the null hypothesis is true?
No. It measures how extreme the statistic is under the specified null distribution and tail definition.
Why do degrees of freedom matter?
They determine the shape of t, chi-square and F distributions. Using the wrong degrees of freedom changes the resulting probability.
Prepared by Finflo. See our methodology and editorial policy.

